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Georgia’s 15.8% Growth Rate Tops European E-commerce Forecasts

An interesting trend in the development of European e-commerce toward 2028 is revealed by the most recent analysis by the EcommerceDB platform. The true growth potential is moving to the East and South of the continent, even as established superpowers like the UK and Germany hold onto their steady positions.

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Georgia’s 15.8% Growth Rate Tops European E-commerce Forecasts
Source: Depositphotos

Georgia: The Unexpected Pioneer in Digital Transformation

The analysis’s most significant finding is that Georgia is emerging as Europe’s fastest-growing e-commerce market, with a projected annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.8% between 2024 and 2028. With current revenues of $127 million in 2024, this comparatively small market is on a path to achieve $228 million by 2028. It is anticipated that the nation’s online sales will increase from the current 7.9% to 12.4%.

This remarkable growth is driven by three main factors:

  • a young population (average age of 38.1 years)
  • growing digital infrastructure
  • developing economic foundation with a GDP of $30.5 billion (2023)
Georgia is expected to growth

Source: ECDB

Malta and Bulgaria: Up Next

There is also a lot of promise in other smaller European markets. Malta, with an 11.3% CAGR and Bulgaria, with a 13.6% CAGR, offer additional alluring prospects for e-commerce investors.

Both markets are characterized by low but quickly increasing online sales shares; Malta anticipates a 4.9% increase, while Bulgaria anticipates a 3.3% increase.

Iberian Peninsula: Two Distinct Development Narratives

An intriguing contrast is presented by the comparison between Portugal and Spain. Portugal is expanding at a slower rate of 8.6%, whereas Spain exhibits a strong CAGR of 10.1%.

While the Portuguese market offers a more stable but slower growth trajectory, the Spanish market primarily benefits from the quick digitization of major cities like Madrid and Barcelona.

Prospects for Investment

These figures show a distinct pattern for investors and e-commerce business owners: the East and South of the continent offer the best chances for exponential growth, even though traditional Western European markets are still stable.

The next generation of e-commerce leaders can be established in the perfect environment thanks to the growing digital infrastructure, youthful populations, and untapped markets.

According to these EcommerceDB projections, the European e-commerce industry is about to enter a new stage of growth, with emerging markets in Eastern and Southern Europe serving as the primary growth engines.

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